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Notes on retention systems, synthetic customers, and how we test what works
Retention
Feb 12, 2026
Retention offer guardrails are the operator way to run retention experiments safely—so cannibalization and discount dependency don’t quietly eat your margin.
Simulation
Jan 27, 2026
Use simulation to choose what’s worth testing, then use A/B tests to prove what’s worth scaling.
Jan 5, 2026
Retention simulation doesn’t replace A/B tests—it replaces the weeks you waste arguing about which A/B tests you should run.
Dec 21, 2025
Scaling retention isn’t “run more tests.” It’s increase experiments per segment without increasing risk or workload—and most teams are built for the opposite.
Dec 9, 2025
Some retention offers don’t reduce churn… they teach customers how to churn better (and they get really good at it).
Nov 27, 2025
Stop optimizing for “more tests” and start optimizing for decision velocity.